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Creators/Authors contains: "Mencin, David"

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  1. We present the first global-scale database of 4.3 billion P- and S-wave picks extracted from 1.3 PB continuous seismic data via a cloud-native workflow. Using cloud computing services on Amazon Web Services, we launched ~145,000 containerized jobs on continuous records from 47,354 stations spanning 2002-2025, completing in under three days. Phase arrivals were identified with a deep learning model, PhaseNet, through an open-source Python ecosystem for deep learning, SeisBench. To visualize and gain a global understanding of these picks, we present preliminary results about pick time series revealing Omori-law aftershock decay, seasonal variations linked to noise levels, and dense regional coverage that will enhance earthquake catalogs and machine-learning datasets. We provide all picks in a publicly queryable database, providing a powerful resource for researchers studying seismicity around the world. This report provides insights into the database and the underlying workflow, demonstrating the feasibility of petabyte-scale seismic data mining on the cloud and of providing intelligent data products to the community in an automated manner. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 8, 2026
  2. SUMMARY Seismology has entered the petabyte era, driven by decades of continuous recordings of broad-band networks, the increase in nodal seismic experiments and the recent emergence of distributed acoustic sensing (DAS). This review explains how cloud platforms, by providing object storage, elastic compute and managed data bases, enable researchers to ‘bring the code to the data,’ thereby providing a scalable option to overcome traditional HPC solutions’ bandwidth and capacity limitations. After literature reviews of cloud concepts and their research applications in seismology, we illustrate the capacities of cloud-native workflows using two canonical end-to-end demonstrations: (1) ambient noise seismology that calculates cross-correlation functions at scale, and (2) earthquake detection and phase picking. Both workflows utilize Amazon Web Services, a commercial cloud platform for streaming I/O and provenance, demonstrating that cloud throughput can rival on-premises HPC at comparable costs, scanning 100 TBs to 1.3 PBs of seismic data in a few hours or days of processing. The review also discusses research and education initiatives, the reproducibility benefits of containers and cost pitfalls (e.g. egress, I/O fees) of energy-intensive seismological research computing. While designing cloud pipelines remains non-trivial, partnerships with research software engineers enable converting domain code into scalable, automated and environmentally conscious solutions for next-generation seismology. We also outline where cloud resources fall short of specialized HPC—most notably for tightly coupled petascale simulations and long-term, PB-scale archives—so that practitioners can make informed, cost-effective choices. 
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  3. Colombia and Ecuador sit at one of the most diverse tectonic regimes in the world, located at the intersection of five tectonic plates (Bird, 2003) encompassing many geophysical hazard regimes, multiple subduction zones, and broad diffuse areas of significant deformation. Notably, the subduction of the Nazca plate under South America has produced at least seven large (Mw 7) and damaging earthquakes since 1900—the largest being the 1906 Mw 8.8 event. Both Colombia and Ecuador have made significant investments in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) networks to study tectonic and volcanic deformation. Earthquake early warning (EEW) systems like the U.S.-operated ShakeAlert system (Murray et al., 2018, 2023) utilize real-time Global Navigation Satellite System (RT-GNSS) to rapidly characterize the largest, most damaging earthquakes in situations where seismic networks alone saturate (Melgar et al., 2015, 2016; Allen and Melgar, 2019; Ruhl et al., 2019). Both Colombia and Ecuador have large vulnerable populations proximal to the coast that may sustain significant damage in these large subduction events (Pulido et al., 2020) and yet farther enough away that an RT-GNSS EEW system could offer significant warning times to these populations and associated infrastructure. We examine the status of the Servicio Geológico Colombiano Geodesia: Red de Estudios de Deformación GNSS network in Colombia and the Escuela Politécnica Nacional GNSS network in Ecuador, their spatial distribution, and the current status of their data streams to determine what augmentations are required to support the real-time detection and modeling of large destructive earthquakes in and near Colombia and Ecuador. 
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  4. Data-driven approaches to identify geophysical signals have proven beneficial in high dimensional environments where model-driven methods fall short. GNSS offers a source of unsaturated ground motion observations that are the data currency of ground motion forecasting and rapid seismic hazard assessment and alerting. However, these GNSS-sourced signals are superposed onto hardware-, location- and time-dependent noise signatures influenced by the Earth’s atmosphere, low-cost or spaceborne oscillators, and complex radio frequency environments. Eschewing heuristic or physics based models for a data-driven approach in this context is a step forward in autonomous signal discrimination. However, the performance of a data-driven approach depends upon substantial representative samples with accurate classifications, and more complex algorithm architectures for deeper scientific insights compound this need. The existing catalogs of high-rate (≥1Hz) GNSS ground motions are relatively limited. In this work, we model and evaluate the probabilistic noise of GNSS velocity measurements over a hemispheric network. We generate stochastic noise time series to augment transferred low-noise strong motion signals from within 70 kilometers of strong events (≥ MW 5.0) from an existing inertial catalog. We leverage known signal and noise information to assess feature extraction strategies and quantify augmentation benefits. We find a classifier model trained on this expanded pseudo-synthetic catalog improves generalization compared to a model trained solely on a real-GNSS velocity catalog, and offers a framework for future enhanced data driven approaches. 
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  5. ABSTRACT The Puerto Rico–Virgin Islands (PRVI) block lies within the Northern Caribbean Plate Boundary Zone—a zone accommodating stresses between the larger North America and Caribbean plates. Data from Global Positioning System (GPS) sites throughout the PRVI block have been used to confirm the existence of a distinct microblock in the southwest. It is no coincidence that this portion of the PRVI block is the epicentral region of the 7 January 2020 Mw 6.4 earthquake and the ensuing seismic sequence. Prior to the mainshock, the southwestern Puerto Rico (SWPR) region exhibited most of the onland seismic activity. The 2020–2021 SWPR earthquake seismic sequence has been characterized by having an atypical aftershock decay distribution occurring along multiple faults. As a result, fault parameters of the 7 January 2020 mainshock have been poorly defined by conventional seismic methods. Here, we present results from campaign and continuous GPS sites in SWPR, and compare GPS-derived displacements to those computed from the U.S. Geological Survey National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) focal mechanism. We conclude that irrespective of which nodal plane is used, the observed coseismic displacements from GPS differ from those predicted using a simple elastic model and the NEIC focal mechanism. We infer based on these observations that the complex mainshock rupture resulted in a suboptimal double-couple solution. 
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  6. Abstract Rapid earthquake magnitude estimation from real-time space-based geodetic observation streams provides an opportunity to mitigate the impact of large and potentially damaging earthquakes by issuing low-latency warnings prior to any significant and destructive shaking. Geodetic contributions to earthquake characterization and rapid magnitude estimation have evolved in the last 20 yr, from post-processed seismic waveforms to, more recently, improved capacity of regional geodetic networks enabled real-time Global Navigation Satellite System seismology using precise point positioning (PPP) displacement estimates. In addition, empirical scaling laws relating earthquake magnitude to peak ground displacement (PGD) at a given hypocentral distance have proven effective in rapid earthquake magnitude estimation, with an emphasis on performance in earthquakes larger than ∼Mw 6.5 in which near-field seismometers generally saturate. Although the primary geodetic contributions to date in earthquake early warning have focused on the use of 3D position estimates and displacements, concurrent efforts in time-differenced carrier phase (TDCP)-derived velocity estimates also have demonstrated that this methodology has utility, including similarly derived empirical scaling relationships. This study builds upon previous efforts in quantifying the ambient noise of three-component ground-displacement and ground-velocity estimates. We relate these noise thresholds to expected signals based on published scaling laws. Finally, we compare the performance of PPP-derived PGD to TDCP-derived peak ground velocity (PGV), given several rich event datasets. Our results indicate that TDCP-PGV is more likely than PPP-PGD to detect intermediate magnitude (∼Mw 5.0–6.0) earthquakes, albeit with greater magnitude estimate uncertainty and across smaller epicentral distances. We conclude that the computationally lightweight TDCP-derived PGV magnitude estimation is complementary to PPP-derived PGD magnitude estimates, which could be produced at the network edge at high rates and with increased sensitivity to ground motion than current PPP estimates. 
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  7. Abstract. Fault slip is a complex natural phenomenon involving multiple spatiotemporal scales from seconds to days to weeks. To understand the physical and chemical processes responsible for the full fault slip spectrum, a multidisciplinary approach is highly recommended. The Near Fault Observatories (NFOs) aim at providing high-precision and spatiotemporally dense multidisciplinary near-fault data, enabling the generation of new original observations and innovative scientific products. The Alto Tiberina Near Fault Observatory is a permanent monitoring infrastructure established around the Alto Tiberina fault (ATF), a 60 km long low-angle normal fault (mean dip 20°), located along a sector of the Northern Apennines (central Italy) undergoing an extension at a rate of about 3 mm yr−1. The presence of repeating earthquakes on the ATF and a steep gradient in crustal velocities measured across the ATF by GNSS stations suggest large and deep (5–12 km) portions of the ATF undergoing aseismic creep. Both laboratory and theoretical studies indicate that any given patch of a fault can creep, nucleate slow earthquakes, and host large earthquakes, as also documented in nature for certain ruptures (e.g., Iquique in 2014, Tōhoku in 2011, and Parkfield in 2004). Nonetheless, how a fault patch switches from one mode of slip to another, as well as the interaction between creep, slow slip, and regular earthquakes, is still poorly documented by near-field observation. With the strainmeter array along the Alto Tiberina fault system (STAR) project, we build a series of six geophysical observatory sites consisting of 80–160 m deep vertical boreholes instrumented with strainmeters and seismometers as well as meteorological and GNSS antennas and additional seismometers at the surface. By covering the portions of the ATF that exhibits repeated earthquakes at shallow depth (above 4 km) with these new observatory sites, we aim to collect unique open-access data to answer fundamental questions about the relationship between creep, slow slip, dynamic earthquake rupture, and tectonic faulting. 
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  8. Abstract An efficient and cost‐effective near‐field tsunami warning system is crucial for coastal communities. The existing tsunami forecasting system is based on offshore Deep‐Ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunamis and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) buoys which are not affordable for many countries. A potential cost‐effective solution is to utilize position data from ships traveling in coastal and offshore regions. In this study, we examine the feasibility of using ship‐borne GNSS data in tsunami forecasting. We carry out synthetic experiments by applying a data assimilation (DA) method with ship position (elevation and velocity) data. Our findings show that the DA method can recover the reference model with high accuracy if a dense network of ship elevation data is used. However, the use of ship velocity data alone is unable to recover the reference model. In addition, we carried out sensitivity studies of the DA method to the ship spatial distribution. We find that a 20 km gap between the ships works well in terms of accuracy and computational time for the example source model that we explored. The highest accuracy is obtained when data from a sufficient number of ships traveling in and around the tsunami source area are available. 
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